TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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XRP Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

XRP Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Volume:
$24,355

XRP Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

 - Polymarket

XRP Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 28, 2026

Closed: Apr 27, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

XRP Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,278
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$820
N/A
N/A
$805
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,738
N/A
N/A
$1,834
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,151
N/A
N/A
$3,320
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,170
N/A
N/A
$993
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$800
N/A
N/A
$800
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$696
N/A
N/A
$696
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$350
N/A
N/A
$335
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$234
N/A
N/A
$234
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
$110
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the XRP price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream XRP/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket employ distinct data sources (CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI vs Chainlink XRP/USD), different settlement methodologies (absolute price levels at 5 PM EDT vs directional change 4:00–8:00 PM ET), and incompatible market structures (40 threshold-based markets vs 1 binary). Outcomes may diverge due to source disagreement, timing mismatch, or oracle variance.Hero tip: Treat Kalshi and Polymarket as separate markets with independent resolution paths. Kalshi resolves at 5 PM EDT against CF Benchmarks; Polymarket resolves at 8 PM ET against Chainlink. Price movements between 5 PM and 8 PM ET, or discrepancies between the two data sources, can cause conflicting resolutions. Verify your position's exposure to each oracle independently.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: 40 granular price-level markets. Each resolves YES if CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI 60-second average before 5 PM EDT exceeds a specific threshold (0.9999, 1.0199, 1.0399, ... 1.7799). All settle at 5 PM EDT on Apr 27, 2026. Key Quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is above [threshold] at 5 PM EDT on Apr 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Single binary Up/Down market. Resolves UP if XRP/USD price at 8:00 PM ET >= price at 4:00 PM ET, using Chainlink XRP/USD data stream. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to Up if the XRP price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD data stream.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.