TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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XRP Up or Down - April 26, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

XRP Up or Down - April 26, 5PM ET

Volume:
$8,475

XRP Up or Down - April 26, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

XRP Up or Down - April 26, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 27, 2026

Closed: Apr 26, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

XRP Up or Down - April 26, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,714
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$199
N/A
N/A
$196
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$305
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
$83
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$55
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use different price sources (Binance XRP/USDT spot vs. CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI index) and different measurement methodologies (1-hour candle open/close comparison vs. 60-second average at a point in time). Both measure directional movement at 5 PM ET on April 26, 2026, but can produce conflicting outcomes.Hero tip: Polymarket resolves on Binance exchange data (spot price candle comparison). Kalshi resolves on CF Benchmarks institutional index (60-second average). These sources can diverge by 1-2% in normal market conditions. If you are hedging or arbitraging, confirm which source you are exposed to. Kalshi's 39 price bands mean it can resolve to Yes across nearly all price levels; Polymarket is strictly binary (up or down). Treat as separate markets with independent resolution risk.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary directional bet on Binance XRP/USDT 1-hour candle. Resolves Up if close >= open, Down otherwise. Uses exchange spot price data finalized after the 1-hour candle closes. Key Quote: 'The close C and open O displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
  • Kalshi: Price-level bet on CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI index. Resolves Yes if 60-second average before 5 PM EDT falls into one of 39 discrete bands (1.02000-1.7799+). Resolves No if price is outside all bands. Uses institutional benchmark index, not exchange spot. Key Quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between [X-Y]...'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.