TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.1b

24H VOL:

$217,487,446

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,300,303,450

498,643

Markets across

13,761

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,763

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA

Dashboards

Trending

XRP Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Name: XRP Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Start: 2026-04-25T20:00:00.000Z
End: 2026-04-27T00:00:00.000Z

Volume:

$9,108

Markets

Outcome

Chance %

Price

Liquidity

Volume

24h

Open Interest

Ends in

Result

Trade

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the XRP price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream XRP/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Two independent resolution methodologies: Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI at a single point in time (5 PM EDT), while Polymarket uses Chainlink XRP/USD to measure price change over a 4-hour window (4 PM–8 PM ET). Data sources, measurement windows, and resolution logic differ materially.

Hero Tip:

Do not assume these markets are equivalent. Kalshi's 40 markets are threshold-based snapshots at 5 PM EDT; Polymarket is a directional change over 4 hours. If CF Benchmarks and Chainlink diverge on XRP price, or if volatility is high between 5 PM and 8 PM, outcomes may conflict. Choose your platform based on which data source and methodology you trust.

Critical Divergence Points:

Kalshi: 40 separate binary markets, each resolving Yes if the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT exceeds a specific threshold (ranging from 0.9999 to 1.7799) at exactly 5 PM EDT on April 26, 2026. No explicit No condition; resolution depends on whether the threshold is breached. Data source: CF Benchmarks Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI). Measurement: Single snapshot at 5 PM EDT.
Polymarket: Single binary market comparing XRP/USD price at 8:00 PM ET to price at 4:00 PM ET. Resolves Up if end price >= start price; otherwise Down. Data source: Chainlink XRP/USD data stream (https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd). Measurement: Price change over 4-hour window.

Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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Disclaimer

PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.