TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
XRP Up or Down - April 23, 5PM ET
Description
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
The two platforms use different price data sources (CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI index vs Binance XRP/USDT spot) and different measurement methods (60-second average of price bands vs simple open/close comparison), creating potential for conflicting outcomes even if XRP moves in the same direction.Hero Tip:
Before trading, confirm with each platform which data source is authoritative for your position. The Kalshi market's 40 Yes conditions cover price ranges from below 1.02 to above 1.78, leaving unclear which prices resolve to No. Request explicit clarification on the No resolution condition for Kalshi.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Measures the 60-second simple average of CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI prior to 5 PM EDT on April 23, 2026. Resolves Yes if average falls within any of 40 specified price bands (1.04-1.0599, 1.06-1.0799, below 1.02, 1.08-1.0999, 1.10-1.1199, 1.12-1.1399, 1.14-1.1599, 1.16-1.1799, 1.18-1.1999, 1.20-1.2199, 1.22-1.2399, 1.24-1.2599, 1.26-1.2799, 1.28-1.2999, 1.30-1.3199, 1.32-1.3399, 1.34-1.3599, 1.36-1.3799, 1.38-1.3999, 1.40-1.4199, 1.42-1.4399, 1.44-1.4599, 1.46-1.4799, 1.48-1.4999, 1.50-1.5199, 1.52-1.5399, 1.54-1.5599, 1.56-1.5799, 1.58-1.5999, 1.60-1.6199, 1.62-1.6399, 1.64-1.6599, 1.66-1.6799, 1.68-1.6999, 1.70-1.7199, 1.72-1.7399, 1.74-1.7599, 1.76-1.7799, above 1.7799). Key quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is [within specified band] at 5 PM EDT on Apr 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Measures Binance XRP/USDT 1-hour candle that begins at 5 PM ET on April 23, 2026. Resolves to Up if close price >= open price, Down otherwise. Uses only the open and close values from the 1-hour candle displayed on Binance's trading interface. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Up if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Down.'
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