TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 9, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The Ripple-Dollar exchange rate will be tracked on June 9, 2026 at 5 PM EDT, with measurement based on a 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' real-time index. This event captures which specific price range the rate falls within, spanning from below 0.72 to above 1.48.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect traders' forward-looking consensus on XRP's price range, often diverging from current spot prices due to time horizon and volatility expectations. While spot markets price XRP for immediate settlement, this prediction market embeds expectations about regulatory developments, adoption catalysts, and macroeconomic shifts over the next 18+ months. Comparing market odds to analyst price targets and on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether traders are pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios relative to consensus forecasts.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this XRP price range contract is priced as a binary or range-based outcome, with odds reflecting the probability that XRP settles within each specified bracket at the June 9, 2026 resolution time. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different price ranges, and the market price of each share directly represents the implied probability of that outcome. Kalshi's order book and real-time pricing allow traders to enter or exit positions based on their conviction about XRP's future price movement.
This market resolves on Jun 9, 2026, capturing XRP's price at exactly 5pm EDT on June 9, 2026. The outcome is determined by the official price reference at that specific moment, which establishes which price range bracket the resolution falls into. All positions settle based on this single data point, making timing and price source critical to the final payout. Traders should be aware of the exact resolution methodology to understand how their positions will be adjudicated.
Key catalysts include regulatory clarity on XRP's classification, major partnership announcements, and shifts in institutional adoption. Macroeconomic factors such as interest rate policy and broader cryptocurrency market sentiment will influence XRP's trajectory. Technical developments, including upgrades to the XRP Ledger or changes to Ripple's business model, could reshape trader expectations. Geopolitical events and central bank digital currency (CBDC) adoption trends may also impact XRP's competitive positioning and long-term price outlook through mid-2026.