TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price range of XRP (Ripple) on June 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT using CF Benchmarks' Real-Time Index. The market resolves based on which price band the simple average of 60 seconds of pricing data falls into at the specified expiration time.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI over the 60 seconds immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on June 26, 2026. Each outcome represents a distinct price range, and exactly one outcome resolves to Yes based on where the averaged price falls. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data aggregated from major cryptocurrency exchanges.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader conviction about where XRP will actually trade, often diverging from current spot prices because they factor in volatility, upcoming catalysts, and longer-term positioning. While spot exchanges show the price right now, this market embeds forward-looking expectations across multiple price ranges. Comparing the implied probabilities here to analyst forecasts and on-chain sentiment can reveal whether traders are pricing in bullish, bearish, or neutral outcomes relative to consensus views on XRP's near-term trajectory.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each XRP price range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome share reflects the probability traders assign to that range occurring by the settlement time. Tighter spreads indicate high confidence in a particular range, while wider spreads suggest uncertainty. Traders profit by correctly predicting which range XRP will occupy, with payouts determined by the final verified price at the designated moment.
This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by XRP's verified spot price at that specific time. The winning range is confirmed once the price is verifiable from credible public sources, ensuring accuracy and fairness. All shares in the correct range pay out in full, while incorrect ranges expire worthless. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective, removing ambiguity about which outcome traders correctly predicted.
Major regulatory announcements, SEC decisions on XRP's status, macroeconomic shifts affecting risk appetite, and Bitcoin or Ethereum price movements are key catalysts that could shift trader positioning in this market. Ripple company news, partnerships, or adoption milestones may also influence XRP sentiment. Technical levels, options expiry dates, and broader crypto market volatility can trigger sharp repricing across the price ranges. Monitoring on-chain metrics, exchange inflows, and social sentiment alongside traditional financial news helps traders anticipate potential moves before they materialize.