TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides the possible XRP price range into specific bands on June 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT. Traders can bet on which price range XRP will fall into, with each outcome representing a distinct price interval. The price is determined using the same CF Benchmarks methodology as other XRP markets.
Resolution is based on the simple average of CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI for the 60 seconds immediately prior to 5 PM EDT on June 24, 2026. Each outcome represents a specific price range, and exactly one outcome resolves to Yes based on where the averaged price falls. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data for accurate price determination.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader beliefs about future XRP price ranges and often diverge from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate news and technical flows, this market embeds longer-term conviction about where XRP will settle by June 2026. Comparing odds here to consensus analyst price targets or on-chain sentiment can reveal whether traders expect significant appreciation, depreciation, or consolidation relative to today's levels.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order matching, where buyers and sellers set odds by placing limit or market orders on each XRP price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform calculates implied probabilities from the bid-ask spread, and prices update in real time as new trades execute. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how tight or wide spreads remain, affecting the cost of entry and exit for position adjustments.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, when XRP's price at that specific time is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which price range bracket contains XRP's verified spot price at the resolution timestamp, and all positions settle accordingly. Traders should monitor for any platform announcements regarding data sources or timing adjustments as the event date approaches.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory developments affecting XRP or cryptocurrency broadly, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Ripple company announcements or partnerships, and Bitcoin or Ethereum price movements that influence altcoin sentiment. Technical milestones on the XRP Ledger, changes in institutional adoption, and shifts in stablecoin or central bank digital currency policy could also drive significant repricing. Traders should track crypto news, SEC actions, and broader fintech trends to anticipate volatility.