TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the XRP (Ripple) cryptocurrency price range at 5 PM EDT on June 23, 2026. Traders can bet on whether XRP will fall within specific price bands, from below $0.72 to above $1.48.
Resolution is based on the simple average of 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) prices collected in the 60 seconds prior to 5 PM EDT on June 23, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price range; if the average price falls within that range, the market resolves to Yes. If no data is available or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No.
Prediction market odds reflect trader consensus about future XRP price ranges and often diverge from current spot prices because they incorporate forward-looking sentiment, macroeconomic factors, and regulatory developments. While spot prices react to immediate supply and demand, this market aggregates longer-term expectations across many participants. Comparing the leading outcome's implied probability to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to mainstream expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each XRP price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The cost of each share reflects the collective belief in that range's likelihood, with prices ranging from near-zero for unlikely outcomes to close to 100 cents for heavily favored ones. Liquidity and trading volume determine how easily positions can be entered or exited without significant slippage.
This market resolves around Jun 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once XRP's price at that moment is verifiable from credible public sources. The winning range is determined by the spot price recorded at the specified time, and all shares corresponding to that bracket are paid out at full value while others expire worthless. Traders should monitor exchange data feeds and official announcements as the resolution date approaches to understand which outcome is most likely to settle.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting XRP or cryptocurrency broadly, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, developments in Ripple's litigation or partnerships, and Bitcoin or Ethereum price movements that often correlate with altcoin sentiment. Technical milestones, exchange listings or delistings, and shifts in institutional adoption could also reshape trader expectations. Monitoring on-chain metrics, social sentiment, and traditional finance headlines will help identify inflection points that could shift odds between price ranges.