TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides the XRP price range into specific bands on June 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT. Traders can bet on which price range XRP will fall within, using CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index as the pricing source.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of the CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI for the 60 seconds immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on June 21, 2026. Each outcome represents a distinct price band, and exactly one outcome resolves to Yes based on where the averaged price falls. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data aggregated from major cryptocurrency exchanges.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader belief about XRP's future price, often diverging from current spot prices because they factor in volatility, regulatory risk, and longer-term adoption narratives. While spot exchanges show what XRP trades for today, this market prices in uncertainty over months ahead. Traders who believe XRP will move significantly higher or lower than consensus can take positions, and their collective bets shape the odds you see. This forward-looking mechanism often reveals sentiment that traditional price charts alone cannot capture.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each XRP price range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each bracket has its own implied probability, derived from the ratio of shares traded at different prices. As demand for a particular range increases, its odds rise; conversely, selling pressure lowers them. The platform's matching engine ensures transparent price discovery, and you can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jun 21, 2026, when XRP's price at that specific moment becomes verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which price range bracket XRP actually trades within at the designated time. Once the event occurs and the price is confirmed, the market settles automatically, paying out holders of the winning bracket in full and expiring all other positions at zero value. No further trading occurs after resolution.
Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting XRP's legal status, shifts in institutional adoption, macroeconomic moves in risk appetite, and developments in Ripple's business partnerships. Technical breakthroughs or security issues could also reshape sentiment. Broader crypto market rallies or downturns typically influence XRP alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum. As the June 2026 date approaches, real-time price action and on-chain metrics will increasingly anchor trader expectations. Unexpected geopolitical or monetary policy shifts can trigger rapid repricing across all brackets.