TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides the possible XRP price range into specific bands on June 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT. Traders can bet on which price range XRP will fall within, with each outcome representing a $0.02 price band from below $0.72 up to above $1.48.
Resolution is based on the simple average of CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI over 60 seconds immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on June 20, 2026. Each outcome represents a specific price range, and exactly one outcome resolves to Yes based on where the averaged price falls. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data for XRP.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, whereas spot prices show what XRP costs right now. This market embeds forward-looking sentiment about XRP's price trajectory over the next 18+ months. If traders expect significant upside or downside, odds will skew toward higher or lower price ranges accordingly. Comparing the implied probabilities here to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to consensus views on XRP's medium-term direction.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts corresponding to each XRP price range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract pays out if its range is correct at settlement, and the bid-ask spread reflects the market's confidence in that outcome. Tighter spreads indicate high conviction; wider spreads suggest uncertainty. Your entry and exit prices depend on real-time supply and demand, so monitoring the order book helps you find optimal entry points and understand where smart money is positioning.
This market resolves around Jun 20, 2026, at which point the actual XRP price will be verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which price range XRP falls into at that exact moment. Once the event is confirmed and verifiable from established market data, the winning range is declared and payouts are distributed to contract holders. Traders should monitor XRP spot prices and broader crypto market conditions as the resolution date approaches to assess their position risk.
Major regulatory announcements affecting XRP or the broader crypto sector could shift odds significantly. Macroeconomic shifts—interest rate changes, inflation data, or stock market volatility—often influence crypto sentiment and XRP's price trajectory. Ripple company developments, partnerships, or litigation outcomes may also sway trader conviction. Technical milestones, adoption metrics, and Bitcoin or Ethereum price movements tend to correlate with XRP moves. Monitoring on-chain activity, exchange inflows, and social sentiment can help you anticipate market repricing before resolution.