TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 19, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides the XRP price range into specific bands on June 19, 2026 at 5pm EDT, allowing participants to bet on which price range XRP will fall within using CF Benchmarks' real-time data.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of 60 consecutive CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI prices collected in the 60 seconds immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 19, 2026. Each outcome represents a distinct price range; the market resolves to Yes for the outcome matching the calculated average price. If data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index aggregates pricing from major exchanges to provide a standardized reference price.
Prediction market odds on this market represent trader conviction about XRP's price range, which often diverges from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets embed longer-term expectations and tail risks. Comparing the implied probabilities here to consensus analyst price targets or historical volatility can reveal whether traders expect stability, upside, or downside moves. The odds reflect real money at stake, making them a distinct signal from traditional price predictions or sentiment surveys.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each XRP price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The cost of each share reflects the implied probability of that range occurring by the settlement date. Traders profit if their chosen range wins; those holding losing shares receive nothing. Prices update in real time as new orders flow in, and the bid-ask spread narrows or widens based on liquidity and conviction around each outcome.
This market resolves around Jun 19, 2026, when XRP's price is verified against credible public sources at the specified time. The outcome is determined by which price range bracket XRP occupies at that exact moment, with the winning range confirmed once the event is observable from established financial data providers. Traders holding shares in the correct range receive their payout; all other positions expire worthless. The resolution is objective and tied to verifiable market data, not subjective interpretation.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting XRP or crypto broadly, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, developments in Ripple's business or legal standing, and Bitcoin or Ethereum price movements that often correlate with altcoins. Technical breakthroughs, exchange listings or delistings, and shifts in institutional adoption could also reshape trader expectations. Geopolitical events, central bank policy changes, and shifts in stablecoin demand may indirectly influence XRP's trajectory. Traders monitor on-chain metrics, network activity, and sentiment to adjust positions ahead of the June 2026 settlement.