TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the XRP (Ripple) cryptocurrency price range at 5 PM EDT on June 16, 2026. Traders can bet on whether XRP will fall within specific price bands, from below $0.72 to above $1.48. The price is determined by averaging 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' real-time index data.
The market resolves based on the simple average of 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) prices collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 16, 2026. Each outcome specifies a price range; if the average price falls within that range, the market resolves to Yes. If data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data for XRP.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregate trader belief about where XRP will land, but they often diverge from consensus analyst forecasts or implied volatility in spot markets. While spot exchanges show current price and recent trading patterns, this market embeds forward-looking sentiment—traders are pricing in news flow, macroeconomic shifts, and regulatory developments expected between now and settlement. The odds can signal whether the crowd expects mean reversion, momentum continuation, or a shock event, offering a complementary signal to traditional price charts and analyst surveys.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where buyers and sellers set bids and asks for each XRP price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders profit by correctly predicting which band XRP will occupy at the settlement moment, and the platform's matching engine ensures prices reflect real supply and demand. Wider spreads typically indicate uncertainty, while tight spreads suggest strong consensus around a particular price range outcome.
This market resolves around Jun 16, 2026, at which point XRP's spot price is verified against credible public sources to determine which price range outcome occurred. The exact settlement price is locked at that timestamp, and all positions are paid out according to the outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct range receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless, making timing and price accuracy the core skill in this event.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting XRP or crypto broadly, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin and Ethereum price moves (which often correlate with altcoin sentiment), and any Ripple company news or partnerships. Technical breakouts or breakdowns on spot exchanges can also shift trader positioning. Geopolitical events, central bank policy changes, and shifts in institutional adoption narratives are secondary drivers that could reshape expectations for where XRP trades by mid-June 2026.