TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event determines which price range XRP falls into at 5pm EDT on July 7, 2026. Rather than asking if the price exceeds a threshold, it asks which specific price band the cryptocurrency occupies at that moment.
Resolution is based on the simple average of CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI over the 60 seconds immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on July 7, 2026. Each outcome represents a distinct price range, and exactly one outcome resolves to Yes based on where the average price falls. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data for accurate price determination.
Prediction market odds reveal what traders collectively expect XRP to be worth at a future moment, whereas spot prices reflect current market value. This market aggregates forward-looking sentiment from participants willing to stake capital on their conviction. Differences between current spot prices and the odds embedded in this market can signal whether traders expect appreciation, depreciation, or consolidation. Comparing these two signals helps investors gauge whether the broader market is pricing in similar expectations or if there is meaningful divergence in near-term outlook.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different XRP price ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each range has its own contract, and the price of each reflects the probability traders assign to that outcome occurring. As new information arrives or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their bids and offers, moving the odds in real time. The platform's matching engine ensures transparent price discovery across all available ranges.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, when XRP's price at that specific moment becomes verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which price range Ripple is trading within at the designated time. Once the event occurs and the price is confirmed, the market settles accordingly, with winnings distributed to those who held the correct range contract. Participants should monitor XRP price action closely as the resolution date approaches.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting XRP or the broader crypto sector, shifts in institutional adoption, macroeconomic policy changes, and Bitcoin or Ethereum price movements that often correlate with altcoin sentiment. Ripple's business developments, partnerships, or litigation outcomes can also significantly influence trader expectations. Technical developments in the XRP Ledger ecosystem and changes in market liquidity or trading volume may drive volatility. Traders should monitor financial news, regulatory filings, and on-chain metrics to anticipate potential price swings.