TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price range of XRP (Ripple) cryptocurrency on July 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT using CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index. The market resolves based on which price band the simple average of 60 seconds of pricing data falls into.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of the CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) calculated from 60 seconds of data collected before 5 PM EDT on July 11, 2026. The price is divided into distinct ranges, each representing a separate outcome. Only one outcome resolves to Yes based on which range contains the averaged price at exactly the specified time and date. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data aggregated from major cryptocurrency exchanges.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will occur, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. In this market, odds reveal the probability traders assign to each price range outcome. Unlike passive price indices, prediction markets incorporate forward-looking sentiment and uncertainty. Comparing these odds to today's XRP spot price and consensus analyst targets can highlight whether the market expects significant appreciation, depreciation, or stability over the coming months.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each XRP price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share pays out based on where XRP settles, and the current bid-ask spread reflects real-time disagreement about the most likely range. Prices move as new information arrives and trader conviction shifts, allowing participants to enter or exit positions throughout the market's lifetime.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by verified XRP price data from credible public sources. The specific price range in which XRP trades at that exact moment settles the market. Once the event occurs and the price is confirmed, all shares corresponding to the correct range pay out in full, while other outcomes expire worthless.
Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting XRP or cryptocurrency broadly, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements, and XRP-specific developments such as partnerships or technical upgrades. Market sentiment can also swing on broader crypto adoption news, central bank policy changes, or shifts in institutional interest. Traders continuously reassess probabilities as new information emerges, causing odds to shift across price ranges throughout the betting period.