TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price range of XRP on July 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT, dividing the price spectrum into specific bands. Resolution uses CF Benchmarks' official Real Time Index with pricing data averaged over 60 seconds immediately before the specified time.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI over the 60 seconds immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on July 1, 2026. Each outcome represents a distinct price range, and exactly one outcome resolves to Yes based on where the averaged price falls. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing aggregated from major cryptocurrency exchanges.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. In this market, the odds reveal whether traders expect XRP to appreciate, depreciate, or remain stable by the resolution date. Comparing these implied probabilities to your own view of XRP's fundamentals, technical setup, and macro catalysts can highlight mispricing opportunities and help you decide whether to trade.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers post bids and offers for shares in each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share reflects the probability traders assign to that outcome; higher prices mean higher perceived likelihood. As new information arrives or trader conviction shifts, bids and offers adjust, and the market reprices in real time.
This market resolves around Jul 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once XRP's price at that moment is verifiable from credible public sources. The winning outcome is the price range bracket that contains XRP's actual trading price at the designated time. Traders holding shares in the correct range receive their payout; all other positions expire worthless.
Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting XRP or the broader crypto market, shifts in macroeconomic conditions and risk appetite, developments in Ripple's business partnerships or litigation, and Bitcoin or Ethereum price movements that often drive altcoin sentiment. Technical levels, exchange inflows or outflows, and changes in institutional adoption could also influence trader positioning. Monitoring on-chain metrics, news flow, and correlation with traditional markets helps anticipate how this market may reprice.