TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 12:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different XRP price ranges. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that price range occurring on September 9. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. The market’s liquidity, indicated by the volume of $9,649, also influences price discovery, as higher volume generally leads to more efficient pricing.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of XRP as recorded on a widely recognized cryptocurrency exchange at a specific time on September 9. The exact price used for resolution will be determined by the platform’s established procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the resolved price.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before its resolution date. Major news regarding regulatory developments related to XRP, such as SEC rulings or positive announcements from key jurisdictions, could drive price movements. Significant partnerships or adoption announcements involving XRP could also influence the market. Furthermore, broader macroeconomic trends, such as changes in interest rates or shifts in investor sentiment towards cryptocurrencies in general, could play a role. Unexpected events impacting the overall crypto market, or even specific vulnerabilities discovered in the XRP network, could also cause shifts in the odds.