TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 12:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a range of expectations for the XRP price, which may differ from those found in traditional spot markets or analyst forecasts. This market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a forward-looking assessment of the probability of different price outcomes. It's important to note that prediction markets aren’t necessarily about predicting the *most likely* outcome, but rather the *market-weighted* probability of various scenarios. Comparing these odds to prevailing sentiment or expert predictions can offer a unique perspective on potential price movements.
On Polymarket, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different XRP price ranges. The price of each contract reflects the implied probability of that price range being correct on September 28th. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief about the future XRP price. The market’s liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly and efficiently prices respond to new information and changing sentiment. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of XRP as reported by a widely recognized and trusted source at the specified time. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome. Traders should monitor external sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, as any discrepancies could impact the final settlement. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the XRP price.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding regulatory developments concerning XRP, such as SEC rulings or favorable legal interpretations, could cause substantial price swings. Significant adoption of XRP by financial institutions or large corporations would also likely move the market. Unexpected macroeconomic events or broader cryptocurrency market trends could also influence trader sentiment and, consequently, the odds. Keep an eye on announcements from Ripple Labs and overall market conditions to understand potential catalysts for movement in this market.