TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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XRP price on September 26?
polymarket

XRP price on September 26?

Volume:
$6,280

1.50-1.60

 - Polymarket

1.50-1.60 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 12:35 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1.50-1.60

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$104
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

>1.90

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,613
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.10-1.20

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.80-1.90

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$852
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.00-1.10

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$677
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.70-1.80

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$493
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.30-1.40

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$442
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.40-1.50

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$373
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.60-1.70

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$209
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.20-1.30

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$174
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<1.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$174
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the XRP price market tracks the current implied probability of XRP being below $1.00 on September 26th. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, along with the total volume traded in this market, currently at $6,280. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour volume, which is $4,528, providing insight into recent trading activity. This allows you to quickly assess market sentiment and how it's evolving as we approach the resolution date. It’s a central hub for monitoring the market’s dynamics.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the future XRP price. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability curve. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe XRP will be below $1.00, the higher the contract price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants in this market, offering a forward-looking indicator of potential price movements. Volume and open interest also influence price discovery.

This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the price of XRP will be checked against reliable financial data sources at or near the specified time. The outcome will be determined by whether the XRP price is below $1.00 at that point in time. This provides a clear and objective basis for settling the market, ensuring transparency and fairness for all participants. Traders should monitor the market closely as the resolution date approaches.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Sep 26, 2026. Major news regarding regulatory developments related to XRP, such as SEC rulings or favorable legal decisions, could drive the price upwards. Conversely, negative news, like security breaches or unfavorable court rulings, could push the price down. Broader market trends in the cryptocurrency space, including Bitcoin’s performance and overall investor sentiment, will also play a role. Unexpected macroeconomic events or shifts in global financial conditions could also impact XRP’s price and, consequently, this market.