TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 1:29 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds offer a unique perspective on future price movements, often reflecting a 'wisdom of the crowd' that differs from traditional analyst forecasts or polls. This market, specifically, captures what traders believe the probability is of XRP reaching certain price points by September 18. While spot price expectations are based on current market conditions and immediate trading activity, the odds here represent a broader assessment of potential outcomes, incorporating various factors and anticipating future events. Examining these differences can give you a more comprehensive view of the potential for XRP price fluctuations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the XRP price. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution for the possible outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current implied probabilities reflect the collective intelligence of the participants, making it a dynamic and informative indicator of market sentiment regarding XRP. The total volume traded in this market is $1,090.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome determined by verifying the price of XRP against credible public reporting at that time. The resolution will reflect the actual price of XRP as recorded by a widely-recognized and reliable source. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the price range will receive payouts based on the odds at the time of their trades. The final price will be the determining factor for settling all outstanding contracts within this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Sep 18, 2026. Major news regarding Ripple Labs, the company behind XRP, such as legal rulings or partnerships, could cause substantial price swings. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, including Bitcoin's performance and overall investor sentiment, will also play a role. Unexpected macroeconomic events, like changes in interest rates or geopolitical instability, could impact risk appetite and affect XRP’s price. Regulatory developments concerning cryptocurrency in major economies are also key catalysts to watch, as these could significantly alter the outlook for XRP and, consequently, this market.