TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 12:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect immediate trading activity, this market aggregates the beliefs of many traders about the future price of XRP. If a significant difference emerges between the implied price from this market and analyst forecasts, it could indicate a strong conviction among prediction market participants about a potential price movement. It’s important to consider both viewpoints when forming your own assessment of where XRP will be valued on September 17.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the XRP price on September 17. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular price range is likely, the higher the price of contracts associated with that range will climb. This creates a dynamic pricing system that continuously updates as new information becomes available and sentiment shifts.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the price of XRP is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the closing price of XRP on major cryptocurrency exchanges at a specific time on September 17. The exact price used for resolution will be determined by the platform’s standard procedures for verifying market data. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 17, 2026. Major news regarding regulatory decisions impacting XRP, such as rulings from the SEC, would likely cause substantial price swings. Significant adoption of XRP by financial institutions or large corporations could also drive up demand and influence the market. Unexpected macroeconomic events or broader cryptocurrency market trends could also play a role. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding how the odds in this market evolve as the resolution date approaches.