TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
XRP price on September 16?
polymarket

XRP price on September 16?

Volume:
$3,495

1.20-1.30

 - Polymarket

1.20-1.30 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 16, 2026

Closed: Sep 16, 12:14 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1.20-1.30

View
100%
95%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$479
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.30-1.40

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$686
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.10-1.20

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$611
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.50-1.60

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$498
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>1.90

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$306
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.40-1.50

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$270
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.60-1.70

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$213
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.80-1.90

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$169
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.00-1.10

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$149
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.70-1.80

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<1.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the XRP price market tracks the current implied probability of XRP trading above or below a certain price on September 16. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, along with a price history chart showing how the market has priced in different outcomes over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, indicating how much activity is occurring in this market. Currently, the total volume is $2,980 and the overall volume is $3,495.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to typical spot price expectations for XRP. While traditional analysts and polls may focus on technical indicators or news sentiment, this market represents the collective wisdom of traders willing to put capital behind their beliefs about the future XRP price. This difference in approach can lead to divergences between the market’s implied probability and those found in conventional forecasts. It's a way to gauge what informed traders believe will happen, rather than just what they say.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief about the XRP price on September 16. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving consensus of market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer we get to the resolution date, the more the price will likely reflect the prevailing sentiment and any new information that emerges. The current top outcome and its associated probability are not available.

This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the XRP price on September 16 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized and publicly available source for XRP’s price at the specified time. The market will determine whether the price was above or below the threshold defined by the market’s parameters. This allows for a clear and objective determination of the outcome based on real-world data.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 16, 2026. Major news regarding regulatory developments concerning XRP, such as rulings from the SEC, could have a substantial impact. Significant partnerships or adoption announcements involving XRP could also drive price movement and shift the market’s probabilities. Unexpected macroeconomic events or broader cryptocurrency market trends could also play a role, influencing investor sentiment and trading activity in this market. Any substantial shifts in trading volume could also indicate a change in market expectations.