TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 2:17 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast for the XRP price on September 12. These probabilities are formed by traders directly wagering on potential outcomes, offering a different perspective than traditional polls or analyst predictions. While analysts might offer price targets based on technical or fundamental analysis, this market represents a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ approach, where the aggregated bets reveal what traders believe is most likely to happen. It's a real-money signal of expectation, distinct from expressed opinions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different price ranges for XRP. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution for the XRP price. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe XRP will fall within a specific range, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving expectations of the market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the XRP price on September 12 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the closing price of XRP as reported by a widely recognized and trusted source. The specific price range that XRP falls into at the designated time will determine which outcome wins, and winning traders will receive payouts according to the odds at the time of their trade. The market will settle based on this publicly available price data.
Several factors could significantly move this market before Sep 12, 2026. Major news regarding Ripple Labs, including legal developments related to their SEC lawsuit, could heavily influence XRP’s price. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, such as Bitcoin’s performance or regulatory announcements, will also play a role. Unexpected macroeconomic events or shifts in global financial markets could also impact investor sentiment towards XRP. Any significant adoption news or partnerships involving XRP could also cause substantial movement in this market.