TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds often diverge from spot prices because they embed forward-looking sentiment and tail-risk premiums that spot markets may not fully price. While spot exchanges reflect current supply and demand, this market aggregates trader conviction about where XRP will settle by a specific date. Comparing the implied probabilities here to analyst forecasts or technical levels can reveal whether the crowd expects mean reversion, momentum continuation, or volatility expansion.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares that represent discrete price outcomes for XRP on June 27. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share's price reflects the collective probability assigned to that outcome; higher prices indicate stronger conviction. The market's depth and liquidity depend on how many traders are active, and prices adjust continuously as new information or sentiment shifts the balance of buy and sell orders.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public sources reporting XRP's price at that time. The winning outcome is determined by verified spot price data from established exchanges or price feeds. Once the event is verifiable and the resolution criteria are met, traders holding the correct outcome receive their payout.
Major catalysts for XRP price movement include regulatory announcements affecting Ripple or crypto broadly, Bitcoin and Ethereum volatility spillovers, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, and developments in Ripple's legal disputes or partnerships. Technical levels and support or resistance zones can also trigger algorithmic trading and cascade moves. Traders in this market monitor on-chain metrics, exchange inflows and outflows, and sentiment shifts across social media and news outlets to anticipate directional moves before June 27.