TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders are actually willing to bet on, often diverging from casual spot price forecasts or analyst commentary. While traditional price targets rely on research reports or sentiment surveys, this market aggregates real financial commitments—traders who are wrong lose money. The odds you see represent a crowd-sourced probability estimate backed by skin in the game. Comparing these odds to published analyst expectations or social media sentiment can reveal whether the prediction market is pricing in information that mainstream forecasters have overlooked or underweighted.
This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once XRP's price is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on where XRP actually trades on that date, measured against the price brackets defined in the market. Once the event occurs and the price is established, the winning outcome is determined and traders who backed it receive their payout. Until then, positions remain open and odds continue to shift as new information and trading activity influence expectations.
Major catalysts for XRP price movement include regulatory announcements affecting Ripple or cryptocurrency broadly, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin or Ethereum price swings, and developments in Ripple's legal disputes or partnerships. Positive news around institutional adoption or stablecoin use cases could push XRP higher, while regulatory crackdowns or market-wide sell-offs could pressure it lower. Technical levels and support/resistance zones also matter; a break above or below key thresholds often triggers momentum trading. Monitor crypto news outlets, SEC filings, and Ripple's official communications for events that could reshape trader conviction before settlement.