TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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XRP price on June 12?
polymarket
kalshi

XRP price on June 12?

Volume:
$16,541

1.10-1.20

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1.10-1.20

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,640
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.1 to 1.1199

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.12 to 1.1399

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
$88
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.90-1.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,503
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.92 to 0.9399

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.30-1.40

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,332
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.3 to 1.3199

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.00-1.10

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,653
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1 to 1.0199

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.40-1.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,589
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.4 to 1.4199

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.20-1.30

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,458
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.22 to 1.2399

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
polymarket

0.60-0.70

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$916
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.62 to 0.6399

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

0.70-0.80

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$897
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.74 to 0.7599

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

0.80-0.90

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$641
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.8 to 0.8199

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<0.60

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$631
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.6199999 or below

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>1.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$620
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.57991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.14 to 1.1599

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$415
N/A
N/A
$413
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.08 to 1.0999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 61

Description

This event group tracks the price of XRP (Ripple) on June 12, 2026, across two prediction platforms using different data sources and measurement times. Polymarket uses Binance XRP/USDT at noon ET, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index at 5 PM EDT. Both platforms offer granular price bracket markets to capture the settlement value.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two prediction platforms measure XRP price at different times (Polymarket at noon ET vs Kalshi at 5 PM EDT) using different data sources (Binance spot vs CF Benchmarks index), creating exposure to intraday price movement and potential source methodology differences.Hero tip: Monitor both Binance XRP/USDT and CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI independently leading up to June 12. If you hold positions on both platforms, track the 5-hour gap between measurement times. Expect divergence if XRP experiences >2% intraday volatility. Polymarket's higher-bracket tie-breaking rule may create subtle arbitrage if price lands exactly on bracket boundaries.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 PM ET. Offers 10-cent price brackets ($0.60-$0.70, $0.70-$0.80, etc., up to >$1.50). Tie-breaking rule: if price falls exactly between two brackets, resolves to the higher range bracket. Source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with 1m candles selected.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on CF Benchmarks Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) 60-second simple average before 5 PM EDT. Offers 2-cent price brackets ($0.62-$0.6399, $0.64-$0.6599, etc., up to >$1.5799). No explicit tie-breaking rule provided. Source: CF Benchmarks official index.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the simple average of the CF Benchmarks Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) calculated over the 60-second period immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on June 12, 2026. Each price range bracket corresponds to a specific market outcome that resolves to Yes if the averaged price falls within that range at the exact specified time and date. The resolution price must be determined from continuous pricing data provided by the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. If data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected price range outcomes resolve to No. The price assessment is based solely on the 60-second average at the specified moment; prices before or after this window are not considered. For any cryptocurrency versions or ticker variations, the Exchange will designate which specific version is being tracked for this event.

Frequently asked questions

Key catalysts include Ripple's regulatory developments, SEC litigation outcomes, and adoption announcements by major financial institutions. Broader crypto sentiment—driven by Bitcoin and Ethereum moves, Fed policy, and macroeconomic data—will influence XRP's trajectory. Technical levels, staking or tokenomics changes, and geopolitical events affecting risk appetite can also shift prices significantly. Traders monitor these signals to adjust positions ahead of June 12 resolution.