TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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XRP price on July 31?
polymarket
kalshi

XRP price on July 31?

Volume:
$42,511

$1.06 to 1.0799

 - Kalshi

$1.06 to 1.0799 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$1.06 to 1.0799

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,546
N/A
N/A
$10,467
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.00-1.10

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,681
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1 to 1.0199

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.04 to 1.0599

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,196
N/A
N/A
$4,826
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.08 to 1.0999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,327
N/A
N/A
$3,434
Settled
No
polymarket

0.90-1.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,952
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.9 to 0.9199

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.20-1.30

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,733
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.2 to 1.2199

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.10-1.20

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,348
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.1 to 1.1199

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$748
N/A
N/A
$728
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.62 to 0.6399

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$691
N/A
N/A
$691
Settled
No
polymarket

0.60-0.70

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$430
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<0.60

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$492
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.6199999 or below

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.30-1.40

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$456
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.3 to 1.3199

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

0.70-0.80

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$430
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.7 to 0.7199

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>1.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$411
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.57991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.12 to 1.1399

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$407
N/A
N/A
$407
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.16 to 1.1799

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$401
N/A
N/A
$401
Settled
No
polymarket

1.40-1.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$365
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.4 to 1.4199

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 61

Description

This event group predicts the closing price of XRP on July 31, 2026, across two prediction markets. The markets use different price sources and timeframes to determine the outcome, creating potential discrepancies in resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Settlement Value Mismatch / Timing RiskHero tip: Monitor both Binance and CF Benchmarks prices closely as the markets resolve at different times and use different pricing sources. Consider hedging positions if significant price divergence occurs between the two sources.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Uses Binance's XRP/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET (noon) on July 31, 2026. "This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"."
  • Kalshi: Uses the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT on July 31, 2026. "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between [price range] at 5 PM EDT on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT on July 31, 2026. Each market has a specific price range or threshold: if the average price falls within the defined range or meets the threshold at exactly that time, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If pricing data is unavailable or incomplete for the required period, all affected markets resolve to No. The Exchange ensures clarity regarding the specific XRP version or ticker used, relying on CF Benchmarks for continuous, real-time pricing data of major cryptocurrencies.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the XRP price market aggregates predictions from multiple venues, showing how traders across platforms view the likely price range of XRP by the end of July. It displays current odds, volume of $42,511, and 24-hour volume of $33,490, giving you a consensus view of market sentiment. This centralized view lets you compare expectations and spot trends without checking each prediction market individually.

Prediction market odds often reflect a slightly different outlook than live spot prices because they incorporate expectations about future events and market sentiment. In this market, the current odds suggest a high probability of XRP landing within a specific range, which may differ from recent trading levels. Traders use these markets to bet on where the price will close, and the implied probabilities can diverge from short-term volatility seen on exchanges.

Several signals could shift this market before it closes, including major product announcements from Ripple, regulatory updates impacting cryptocurrency exchanges, or broad market moves in the crypto space. Economic data releases, tech upgrades on the XRP ledger, and even geopolitical events that affect risk appetite can also influence trader sentiment. Any development that changes expectations for XRP’s valuation near the end of July may cause rapid shifts in odds.