TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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XRP price on August 7?
polymarket
kalshi

XRP price on August 7?

Volume:
$49,292

$1.01991 or above

 - Kalshi

$1.01991 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$1.01991 or above

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,179
N/A
N/A
$3,667
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.00-1.10

100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,649
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.99991 or above

100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,545
N/A
N/A
$1,038
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.57991 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,137
N/A
N/A
$1,137
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.95991 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$426
N/A
N/A
$425
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.49991 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
$202
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.51991 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
$202
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.53991 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
$202
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.55991 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
$202
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.59991 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
$202
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.61991 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
$202
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.97991 or above

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$168
N/A
N/A
$161
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.83991 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$149
N/A
N/A
$149
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.91991 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$69
N/A
N/A
$68
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.93991 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
$59
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.81991 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.03991 or above

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,841
N/A
N/A
$6,793
Settled
No
polymarket

1.10-1.20

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

0.90-1.00

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,138
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.05991 or above

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,687
N/A
N/A
$3,242
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.17991 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,363
N/A
N/A
$2,363
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.07991 or above

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,538
N/A
N/A
$1,521
Settled
No
polymarket

<0.60

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$821
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.15991 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$755
N/A
N/A
$755
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.09991 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$567
N/A
N/A
$565
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 61

Description

This event group tracks the price of XRP on August 7, 2026, with multiple markets covering different price ranges and thresholds across two platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Settlement Time Mismatch / Source FragilityHero tip: Monitor both Binance and CF Benchmarks price feeds leading up to August 7, 2026. Consider hedging positions if significant divergence emerges between the two sources.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Uses Binance 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 7, 2026.
  • Kalshi: Uses 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT on August 7, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) published by CF Benchmarks. At exactly 5 PM EDT on August 7, 2026, the simple average price of XRP over the sixty seconds immediately preceding that time will be compared against multiple threshold values. If this average price exceeds any specified threshold, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Data availability is critical—if the index does not provide complete pricing data for the required one-minute window, all affected markets resolve to 'No'. The Exchange ensures clarity regarding any multiple versions of the cryptocurrency by specifying the exact ticker or version being tracked. Continuous real-time data from CF Benchmarks underpins all price assessments.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds offer a forward-looking view that often diverges from current spot prices. While spot prices reflect recent trading activity, this market incorporates expectations about upcoming events, news, and macroeconomic factors that could influence XRP’s value. Higher odds for specific ranges suggest trader confidence in those outcomes, sometimes pricing in moves that haven’t yet appeared in live markets.