TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 12:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, the current odds reflect a strong bias toward XRP being within the targeted range, contrasting with some analyst forecasts that suggest wider volatility. While spot markets may price in different risk factors, this market’s probability weighting offers a distinct view of collective trader sentiment, often diverging from short-term technical indicators or media narratives ahead of major dates.
This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. On that date, the closing XRP price will be checked against the defined range, and the market will settle automatically based on whether the condition is met, providing a clear, objective result for all participants.
Regulatory announcements, major exchange updates, or unexpected macroeconomic shifts could sway this market as August approaches. Traders will also watch key XRP adoption news, institutional activity, and broader crypto market trends, all of which can cause rapid re-pricing of probabilities on Polymarket in the days leading up to Aug 5, 2026.