TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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XRP price on August 21?
polymarket
kalshi

XRP price on August 21?

Volume:
$137,482

$1.33991 or above

 - Kalshi

$1.33991 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$1.33991 or above

View
100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,750
N/A
N/A
$3,810
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.35991 or above

View
100%
90%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,742
N/A
N/A
$6,226
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.27991 or above

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,212
N/A
N/A
$2,317
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.31991 or above

View
100%
85%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,388
N/A
N/A
$2,486
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.21991 or above

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,141
N/A
N/A
$6,864
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.23991 or above

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,402
N/A
N/A
$4,406
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.03991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,361
N/A
N/A
$818
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.29991 or above

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,118
N/A
N/A
$2,856
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.19991 or above

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,748
N/A
N/A
$3,672
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.25991 or above

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,048
N/A
N/A
$2,664
Settled
Yes
polymarket

>1.40

View
100%
95%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,567
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.15991 or above

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,454
N/A
N/A
$893
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.17991 or above

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,451
N/A
N/A
$851
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.11991 or above

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,347
N/A
N/A
$1,160
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.99991 or above

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$853
N/A
N/A
$337
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.09991 or above

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$644
N/A
N/A
$400
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.05991 or above

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$524
N/A
N/A
$429
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.01991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$262
N/A
N/A
$42
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.97991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
$70
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.13991 or above

View
100%
85%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$98
N/A
N/A
$98
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.85991 or above

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
$91
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.91991 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
$59
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.07991 or above

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.93991 or above

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
$22
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.37991 or above

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,204
N/A
N/A
$4,921
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 61

Description

This event group tracks the price of XRP on August 21, 2026, comparing thresholds across two prediction markets. Kalshi uses a Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) average before 5 PM EDT, while Polymarket relies on Binance's XRP/USDT closing price at noon ET.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Settlement Value Mismatch / Source FragilityHero tip: Trade cautiously — these markets resolve using entirely different price sources and timing windows. Consider hedging positions if you expect exchange-specific volatility or time-sensitive price gaps.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT on Aug 21, 2026.
  • Polymarket: Resolves according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on August 21, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the simple average price of XRP over the sixty seconds immediately preceding 5:00 PM EDT on August 21, 2026, as reported by the CF Benchmarks Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI). A market resolves to 'Yes' only if this average exceeds the specified threshold for that market. If pricing data is unavailable or incomplete for the required period, all affected markets resolve to 'No'. The Exchange ensures clarity regarding any multiple versions of the cryptocurrency being tracked. Continuous real-time data from CF Benchmarks underpins all resolutions, guaranteeing consistent and transparent evaluation for each threshold-defined outcome.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the XRP August price market aggregates predictions from multiple venues, showing how traders across Polymarket and Kalshi price the likelihood of different Ripple outcomes by August 21. It displays current odds, volume of $137,482, and 24-hour volume of $113,156, offering a consensus view of market expectations for the short_topic.

On many prediction venues, odds for this market often diverge from short-term spot price movements because traders are pricing in longer-term expectations, macro trends, and potential regulatory news. While spot prices may fluctuate daily, this market reflects a consolidated outlook for the specific August 21 valuation point, capturing both immediate sentiment and forward-looking fundamentals.