TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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XRP price on August 14?
polymarket
kalshi

XRP price on August 14?

Volume:
$39,685

1.00-1.10

 - Polymarket

1.00-1.10 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 12:21 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1.00-1.10

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,571
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.97991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,078
N/A
N/A
$840
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.95991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$344
N/A
N/A
$318
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.81991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$249
N/A
N/A
$249
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.49991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.51991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.53991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.55991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.57991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.59991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.61991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.63991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.93991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.99991 or above

View
0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,963
N/A
N/A
$4,138
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.01991 or above

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,437
N/A
N/A
$6,423
Settled
No
polymarket

0.80-0.90

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,046
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.10-1.20

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,295
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

0.90-1.00

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,864
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.03991 or above

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,162
N/A
N/A
$718
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.47991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$946
N/A
N/A
$946
Settled
No
polymarket

1.30-1.40

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$835
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.20-1.30

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$831
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.05991 or above

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$800
N/A
N/A
$771
Settled
No
polymarket

>1.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$675
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

0.70-0.80

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$610
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 61

Description

This event group tracks the price of XRP on August 14, 2026, with multiple markets covering different price ranges and thresholds across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Divergence in settlement value sources (Binance vs CF Benchmarks) and timing (12:00 ET vs 5 PM EDT)Hero tip: Track both Binance and CF Benchmarks pricing around settlement windows. Consider hedging positions if significant price discrepancies arise between sources.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Uses Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 14, 2026. Market resolves to 'No' if price is outside specified ranges.
  • Kalshi: Uses simple average of CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI over sixty seconds before 5 PM EDT on August 14, 2026. Market resolves to 'Yes' if average exceeds specified thresholds.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the simple average price of XRP measured by CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) during the sixty seconds immediately preceding 5:00 PM EDT on August 14, 2026. Each market has a distinct price threshold; if the calculated average exceeds the respective threshold, that market resolves to 'Yes,' otherwise to 'No.' Data availability is critical—markets resolve to 'No' if pricing data is missing or incomplete for the specified period. The Exchange defines the specific XRP version or ticker used for pricing, ensuring clarity amid potential variations. Continuous real-time data from CF Benchmarks underpins all resolutions, providing a reliable benchmark for major cryptocurrencies at the exact evaluation moment.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the XRP August price market aggregates data from multiple venues, giving you a live view of how traders across platforms see the likelihood of different price ranges for XRP by August 14. It shows consensus odds, volume of $39,685, and 24-hour volume of $27,234, letting you monitor sentiment and liquidity for this market in real time.

Several signals could shift this market before it closes. Regulatory updates affecting XRP, major exchange announcements, or macro economic shifts influencing crypto markets may all reshape trader sentiment. Additionally, large institutional trades or sentiment surges on social platforms often precede noticeable moves in this market, as participants price in anticipated price action closer to August 14.