TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the XRP/USD exchange rate at a specific moment on June 28, 2026. Participants predict whether XRP will trade above various price thresholds, with outcomes ranging from $0.60 to $1.38. The resolution uses CF Benchmarks' official Real Time Index, averaging 60 seconds of pricing data at exactly 5 PM EDT.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI over the 60 seconds immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on June 28, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, with resolution to Yes if the average price exceeds that threshold. If data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides the authoritative pricing source for this cryptocurrency.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, this market incorporates forward-looking sentiment and longer-term positioning. Comparing the implied odds here to current XRP trading prices and published analyst targets can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish momentum, helping you gauge whether consensus leans toward appreciation or depreciation by the resolution date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different price outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share reflects a discrete price range or point estimate for XRP at settlement, and the market price of each share directly translates to the implied probability. As new trades execute, prices update in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions at the prevailing odds whenever liquidity is available.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once XRP's spot price is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution captures the price at that specific moment, and all positions settle based on which outcome bracket or range the actual price falls into. Once the event passes and data is finalized, all open positions are closed and winnings are distributed according to the market rules.
Major regulatory announcements, shifts in institutional adoption, macroeconomic changes affecting risk appetite, and developments in competing cryptocurrencies can all influence XRP price expectations. Technical milestones, partnerships, or legal outcomes involving Ripple Labs may also drive sentiment. Additionally, broader crypto market rallies or sell-offs, changes in Federal Reserve policy, and shifts in on-chain activity or exchange flows can move trader positioning significantly before this market settles.