TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of XRP (Ripple's cryptocurrency) at a specific moment on June 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT. The price is determined by averaging 60 seconds of data from CF Benchmarks' official Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index immediately before the expiration time.
Resolution is based on the simple average of CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI over the 60 seconds immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on June 25, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, with resolution occurring only if the averaged price meets or exceeds that threshold at exactly the specified time. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data aggregated from major cryptocurrency exchanges.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregate trader expectations about XRP's future price, often diverging from current spot prices because they incorporate forward-looking sentiment and uncertainty. While spot markets price XRP based on immediate supply and demand, this market prices the probability of specific price levels months ahead. Traders betting on higher outcomes believe XRP will appreciate; those betting lower expect depreciation or consolidation. The gap between current spot price and the market's implied price target reveals whether traders collectively expect bullish or bearish momentum into mid-2026.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different XRP price ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share pays out based on where XRP settles relative to the specified price thresholds at the resolution time. The bid-ask spread and order depth reflect liquidity and conviction; tighter spreads indicate strong consensus, while wider spreads suggest uncertainty. Prices update in real time as new orders match, allowing traders to enter or exit positions dynamically throughout the market's lifetime.
This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, when XRP's price is verified against credible public sources at the specified time. The outcome is determined by where XRP trades in major spot markets at that exact moment, confirmed once the data is publicly available and auditable. All positions settle based on which price bracket the verified rate falls into, with payouts distributed accordingly. Traders should monitor XRP price action closely in the weeks leading up to resolution, as any significant volatility or market-moving events will directly influence final settlement.
Major catalysts for XRP price movement include regulatory announcements affecting Ripple or cryptocurrency broadly, shifts in institutional adoption, macroeconomic policy changes, and developments in ongoing legal cases. Technical milestones on the XRP Ledger, partnerships, or integrations with payment networks could drive bullish sentiment. Conversely, broader crypto market downturns, regulatory crackdowns, or negative news about Ripple's business could pressure prices lower. Traders should track both XRP-specific fundamentals and systemic crypto market trends, as correlation with Bitcoin and Ethereum often influences altcoin price action significantly.