TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 22, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of XRP (Ripple) cryptocurrency on June 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT using CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index. The market resolves based on the simple average of 60 seconds of price data collected immediately before the specified time.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of the CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) calculated from 60 seconds of data collected before 5 PM EDT on June 22, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, with resolution occurring only if the averaged price meets or exceeds that threshold at exactly the specified time and date. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data aggregated from major cryptocurrency exchanges.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe XRP will be worth at the specified time, often diverging from current spot prices due to differing time horizons and risk assessments. While spot markets price XRP for immediate exchange, this market embeds expectations about price movement over months, incorporating macroeconomic factors, regulatory developments, and on-chain adoption trends. Comparing the implied price from market odds to analyst forecasts and consensus estimates can reveal whether traders are pricing in optimism or caution relative to mainstream expectations. These differences highlight how prediction markets capture forward-looking sentiment distinct from today's trading activity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different XRP price ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract represents a specific price outcome, and the market price of those shares reflects the collective probability traders assign to that outcome occurring. Participants can place limit or market orders to enter or exit positions, with the spread between bid and ask prices indicating liquidity and conviction. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, prices adjust dynamically to reflect updated expectations about where XRP will settle at the designated time.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public sources reporting XRP's price at that moment. Once the event is verifiable from established financial data providers and exchanges, the market settles and traders' positions are finalized based on the actual price recorded. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring all participants can independently verify the result. Until that time, traders can continue to adjust their positions as new information and market conditions evolve.
Major regulatory announcements regarding cryptocurrency or XRP specifically could significantly shift trader expectations and move prices sharply. Macroeconomic events such as interest rate changes, inflation data, or shifts in risk appetite often influence crypto sentiment broadly. Technical developments on the XRP Ledger, partnerships involving Ripple, or adoption milestones by financial institutions could drive bullish or bearish positioning. Market-wide crypto volatility, Bitcoin price movements, and broader fintech news also tend to correlate with XRP trading activity. Traders monitoring these catalysts adjust their bets as the resolution date approaches, causing odds to fluctuate in response to new developments.