TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 12:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Prediction market odds offer a forward-looking view that often diverges from current spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect recent trading activity, this market incorporates trader expectations about future conditions, regulatory developments, and macroeconomic factors influencing XRP. As a result, odds can appear more bullish or bearish than immediate price action suggests, depending on anticipated events before Sep 4, 2026.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders submit bids and asks that directly set the market price based on their collective expectations. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate wisdom of Polymarket participants, with volume of $37,218 supporting the displayed probability. Liquidity providers help narrow spreads, ensuring prices adjust quickly to new information affecting XRP’s outlook.
This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will look to authoritative price feeds and widely recognized exchanges to validate whether XRP meets the threshold on the specified date. The process ensures an objective, transparent resolution aligned with real-world conditions.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including major product announcements, regulatory updates, exchange listings, or macroeconomic shifts affecting crypto markets overall. Positive developments may boost the probability of XRP trading above the target level, while negative news or broader market pullbacks could depress it. Trader sentiment on Polymarket will react quickly to any credible information impacting XRP’s near-term prospects.