TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 12:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than simple spot price expectations. While spot prices show the current value of XRP, this market focuses on a future price on a specific date. The odds represent what traders believe is the probability of XRP exceeding a certain level by Sep 16, 2026. This is influenced by factors like regulatory news, technological advancements, and overall market trends, creating a forward-looking assessment that differs from a snapshot of the present price.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of XRP being above the target price on September 16. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought, the higher the price goes, indicating greater confidence in that outcome, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the XRP price on September 16 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized and trusted source for XRP pricing data. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and whether their predictions were accurate once the event is settled. This ensures a transparent and reliable process for determining the market’s result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 16, 2026. Major news regarding regulatory decisions impacting XRP, significant partnerships or adoption announcements, or broader cryptocurrency market trends could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected technological developments related to the XRP ledger or substantial shifts in macroeconomic conditions could also play a role. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.