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XRP above ___ on September 12?
polymarket
kalshi

Will XRP be above the price on September 12?

Volume:
$74,607

$1.35991 or above

 - Kalshi

$1.35991 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$1.35991 or above

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,721
N/A
N/A
$6,278
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.33991 or above

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,590
N/A
N/A
$1,762
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.31991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,376
N/A
N/A
$557
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.30

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.29991 or above

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,766
N/A
N/A
$975
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.27991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$910
N/A
N/A
$654
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.17991 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
$86
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.25991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
$60
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.90

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.89991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.00

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.01991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.10

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.11991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.20

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.21991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.95991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.91991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.93991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.97991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.05991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.07991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.41991 or above

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,089
N/A
N/A
$12,524
Settled
No
polymarket

1.40

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.39991 or above

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,811
N/A
N/A
$2,648
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 61

Description

These markets ask whether the price of XRP will exceed a specified threshold on September 12th. The thresholds range from $0.90 to $1.90, creating a series of related predictions about the potential price of XRP.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets diverge in their resolution sources and timing. Polymarket relies on a Binance 'Close' price at noon ET on September 12th, while Kalshi uses a 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT on September 11th.Hero tip: Consider the potential for price fluctuations around the resolution times. The 60-second average used by Kalshi may smooth out short-term spikes that could trigger the Polymarket market based on the 'Close' price.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle 'Close' price at 12:00 ET on September 12th. If the close is above the specified price, the market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT on September 11, 2026. If the average is above the specified price, the market resolves to 'Yes'.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the simple average price of XRP measured by the CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) during the sixty seconds immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on September 11, 2026. Each market outcome corresponds to whether this average exceeds a specific monetary threshold at that exact timestamp. If pricing data is unavailable or incomplete for the required period, all affected markets resolve to 'No'. The Exchange ensures clarity regarding any multiple versions of the cryptocurrency by specifying the exact ticker or version being tracked. Continuous real-time data from CF Benchmarks underpins all price assessments.

Frequently asked questions

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in trader demographics, market-specific rules, and liquidity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a unique set of participants with varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to potentially different interpretations of the same underlying event. Furthermore, differing trading fees, market maker incentives, and the overall volume on each platform can influence price discovery. The current volume of $74,607 suggests robust interest, but imbalances in trading activity between the two platforms could contribute to price discrepancies.