TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 9, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective assessment of XRP's June 9 price, often diverging from current spot prices and analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate news and technical levels, prediction markets price in longer-term conviction about where XRP will settle by resolution. Comparing the implied probability on Polymarket to consensus analyst price targets and on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios. These differences highlight where informed traders see value relative to conventional expectations.
On Polymarket, the XRP above ___ on June 9 contract is priced as a binary outcome: traders buy or sell shares representing YES (XRP closes above the threshold) or NO (it closes at or below). On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the market's probability estimate, ranging from $0 to $1. Higher trading volume and tighter bid-ask spreads indicate stronger consensus. Polymarket's automated market maker model allows continuous price discovery, so odds update in real time as new trades flow in, giving you an up-to-the-minute read on where the crowd expects XRP to land.
The XRP above ___ on June 9 market resolves on Jun 9, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by where XRP's price settles relative to the specified threshold. The resolution process uses a predefined data source to confirm the final price level, ensuring all traders have clarity on the result. Once resolved, winning shares are redeemed at full value and losing shares expire worthless. This fixed end date gives traders a clear deadline to position themselves before the market locks in.
XRP's price action toward June 9 could be shaped by regulatory announcements affecting Ripple or the broader crypto sector, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin and Ethereum momentum, and on-chain activity metrics. Developments in Ripple's partnerships, SEC litigation outcomes, or stablecoin adoption trends may also influence trader positioning. Technical levels and support or resistance zones will guide short-term volatility. Major financial news, Fed policy signals, or shifts in institutional crypto sentiment could trigger sharp repricing of the prediction market odds, so monitoring both XRP-specific catalysts and macro conditions is key to understanding how the market will evolve.