TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 6, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about XRP's price on June 6, which may differ from current spot prices on crypto exchanges. Spot markets price XRP for immediate settlement, while prediction markets embed expectations about future price movement, volatility, and tail risks over the next months. Comparing the implied probability from Polymarket to analyst forecasts and on-chain sentiment indicators can help you identify whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to fundamental outlook.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced using an automated market maker model where traders buy and sell shares of the YES and NO outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the ratio of liquidity and recent trades on the platform. Prices update continuously as new orders flow in, and the spread between bid and ask widens or tightens based on order book depth and trading volume, giving you real-time signals of market conviction.
XRP price action leading to June 6 may be influenced by regulatory announcements affecting Ripple or the broader crypto sector, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin and Ethereum momentum, and developments in cross-border payment adoption. On-chain metrics such as whale accumulation, exchange inflows, and network activity can signal shifting sentiment. Major fintech partnerships, SEC rulings, or shifts in institutional interest could also drive volatility. Monitoring these catalysts helps you assess whether the current market odds represent fair value.