TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 19, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Prediction market odds reflect the collective belief of traders betting real capital on the outcome, often diverging from casual sentiment or analyst forecasts. While spot price expectations may be based on technical analysis or news commentary, this market aggregates actual financial commitment from participants who profit or lose based on accuracy. The odds here typically incorporate forward-looking information faster than traditional surveys, making them a useful benchmark for comparing against other price forecasts or consensus views in the crypto community.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker that adjusts prices based on buy and sell pressure. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing into a particular outcome, the higher its price moves, and vice versa. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the latest information and trader conviction. Participants can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, with prices updating in real time as new trades occur.
This market resolves around Jun 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. At that point, the market will settle based on whether XRP reached the specified price level on the target date. Traders who backed the correct outcome receive their winnings, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the event conclusion once data is finalized.
Major regulatory announcements, macroeconomic shifts, or developments specific to the XRP ecosystem could significantly impact this market's odds. Broader crypto market movements, Bitcoin price action, and shifts in institutional interest often correlate with XRP volatility. Technical chart patterns, exchange listings or delistings, and statements from Ripple or industry figures may also trigger trader repositioning. Closer to Jun 19, 2026, intraday price action and order-book imbalances will likely drive final adjustments as traders hedge or double down on their positions.