TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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XRP above ___ on July 31?
polymarket
kalshi

XRP above ___ on July 31?

Volume:
$76,140

$1.05991 or above

 - Kalshi

$1.05991 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$1.05991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,276
N/A
N/A
$7,804
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.00

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,521
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.99991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$55
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.01991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$857
N/A
N/A
$847
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.03991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$539
N/A
N/A
$434
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.59991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$526
N/A
N/A
$526
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.60

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.61991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.70

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.71991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.80

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.81991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.90

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.89991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.63991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.07991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,058
N/A
N/A
$10,377
Settled
No
polymarket

1.10

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,883
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.09991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,424
N/A
N/A
$7,342
Settled
No
polymarket

1.20

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.19991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$370
N/A
N/A
$370
Settled
No
polymarket

1.30

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,028
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.29991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.13991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,848
N/A
N/A
$2,848
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.11991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,108
N/A
N/A
$1,486
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.25991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$725
N/A
N/A
$725
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 61

Description

This group of markets predicts whether the price of XRP will exceed various thresholds on July 31, 2026. Each market has a different threshold, ranging from $0.60 to $1.60.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Divergence due to different settlement times and data sources between Polymarket (Binance noon ET) and Kalshi (CF Benchmarks before 5 PM EDT).Hero tip: Trade cautiously — these markets resolve based on different time windows and data sources. Verify both the exact time and source before finalizing positions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Uses Binance 1-minute candle close price at noon ET on July 31. Key Quote: "This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title."
  • Kalshi: Uses 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT on July 31. Key Quote: "If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is above [threshold] at 5 PM EDT on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the simple average price of XRP over the sixty seconds immediately preceding 5:00 PM EDT on July 31, 2026, as reported by the CF Benchmarks Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI). For a market to resolve as 'Yes,' this average must exceed the specific threshold defined in the market's title at exactly 5:00 PM EDT on the target date. If pricing data is unavailable or incomplete for the required period, all affected markets resolve as 'No.' The Exchange ensures clarity regarding which version or ticker of XRP is being tracked, as multiple versions may exist. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index is utilized for its continuous and reliable pricing data for major cryptocurrencies, providing the necessary precision for these time-sensitive evaluations.