TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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XRP above ___ on July 30?
kalshi
polymarket

XRP above ___ on July 30?

Volume:
$36,191

1.00

 - Polymarket

1.00 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 30, 2026

Closed: Jul 30, 12:12 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1.00

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,490
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.07991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,443
N/A
N/A
$567
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.90

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$525
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.49991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$315
N/A
N/A
$315
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.59991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$237
N/A
N/A
$237
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.51991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$215
N/A
N/A
$215
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.53991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$215
N/A
N/A
$215
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.55991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$215
N/A
N/A
$215
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.57991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$215
N/A
N/A
$215
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.89991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$139
N/A
N/A
$138
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.80

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.60

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.70

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.99991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
$33
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.05991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.65991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
$16
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.91991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.93991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.61991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.63991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.69991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.71991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.73991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.75991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.77991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 61

Description

This event group tracks whether the price of XRP will exceed various thresholds on July 30, 2026. The markets differ in their threshold levels and resolution methodologies across two platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use price comparisons to resolve Yes/No outcomes, differing only in threshold levels and exact data sources/timing.Primary resolution logic: Binance 1-minute candle close prices (Polymarket) OR CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index average (Kalshi)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve Yes if the price snapshot exceeds the threshold; otherwise resolve No
  • Thresholds vary per market (e.g., $0.60, $0.70, ..., $1.60 on Polymarket; 0.4999, 0.5199, ..., 1.4799 on Kalshi)
  • Timing differs: Polymarket uses Binance XRP/USDT 12:00 ET candle close; Kalshi uses average of 60 seconds before 5 PM EDT on July 24, 2026

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Threshold Rounding: Price precision depends on the source: Binance uses typical crypto exchange precision (e.g., 4 decimal places), while Kalshi's CF Benchmarks may have different precision rules
  • Time Zone Alignment: Ensure proper time zone conversion between EDT (Kalshi) and ET (Polymarket) for accurate timing alignment on July 30, 2026
Timing: All markets resolve on July 30, 2026, based on their respective price snapshot timesOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) collected in the 60 seconds immediately before 5 PM EDT on July 24, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold; if the average price meets or exceeds that threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If no data is available or the data is incomplete at the expiration time, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data aggregated from major cryptocurrency exchanges.