TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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XRP above ___ on August 18?
polymarket

XRP above ___ on August 18?

Volume:
$26,396

1.00

 - Polymarket

1.00 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 18, 2026

Closed: Aug 18, 12:13 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1.00

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,647
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.70

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$173
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.90

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.60

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.80

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.10

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,799
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.20

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,023
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.30

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$700
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.40

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$429
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the XRP price surge market, along with 24-hour volume of $19,876. It shows how traders on this single venue are positioning around the likelihood of a significant price move by the event date. The interface updates continuously to reflect the latest betting activity and market sentiment on Polymarket alone.

Prediction market odds on this market reflect a collective trader outlook that can diverge from current spot price trends. While spot prices show where XRP trades now, the market incorporates expectations for upcoming events, news, and macroeconomic factors that could push the price higher. Traders often see this market as a leading indicator of sentiment shifts before they appear in live trading sessions.

This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will look to authoritative price feeds and news sources to validate whether the condition is met. The process is designed to reflect widely accepted data without requiring direct input from any specific oracle or resolution provider.

Key signals include major XRP partnerships, regulatory updates, exchange listings, or macroeconomic shifts affecting crypto markets overall. Positive developments could boost the probability, while negative news or broader market sell-offs might lower it. Traders will also watch volume spikes and large bets on Polymarket, as these often signal shifting sentiment ahead of the resolution date.