TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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XRP above ___ on August 14?
polymarket
kalshi

XRP above ___ on August 14?

Volume:
$96,228

1.00

 - Polymarket

1.00 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 12:13 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1.00

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$55,284
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.90

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,361
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.98 to 0.9999

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$763
N/A
N/A
$383
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$586
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.80

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$356
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.60

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.70

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.10

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,666
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.20

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,456
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1 to 1.0199

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,210
N/A
N/A
$2,806
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.04 to 1.0599

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,421
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
No
polymarket

1.40

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,052
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$692
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.02 to 1.0399

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$622
N/A
N/A
$256
Settled
No
polymarket

1.30

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$484
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.96 to 0.9799

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.1 to 1.1199

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.06 to 1.0799

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.94 to 0.9599

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.5199999 or below

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.52 to 0.5399

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.54 to 0.5599

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.56 to 0.5799

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.58 to 0.5999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.6 to 0.6199

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 61

Description

This group of markets predicts whether the price of XRP will exceed various thresholds on August 14, 2026. The markets differ in their settlement mechanisms and price sources, creating potential discrepancies in resolution outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Divergence in settlement value sources and timing (Binance vs CF Benchmarks, noon ET vs 5 PM EDT)Hero tip: Monitor both Binance and CF Benchmarks pricing streams closely as prices can diverge significantly between exchanges and benchmarks. Consider hedging positions if trading across both platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Uses Binance 1-minute candle close price at noon ET on August 14, 2026. Market resolves to Yes if the close price exceeds the threshold specified in the market title.
  • Kalshi: Uses the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT on August 14, 2026. Market resolves to Yes if the average price falls within the specified range or above the upper bound of the range.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the simple average price of XRP over the sixty seconds immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on August 14, 2026, as measured by the CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI). Each market outcome corresponds to a specific price range, and only the bracket that the average price falls into at the exact expiration time determines the resolution. If pricing data is unavailable or incomplete at the specified time, all affected markets resolve to 'No.' The Exchange ensures clarity regarding any multiple versions of the cryptocurrency being tracked. Continuous real-time data from CF Benchmarks underpins all calculations, ensuring precision and reliability in determining the final outcome.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the XRP price spike market aggregates predictions from multiple venues, showing how traders across platforms view the likelihood of a significant rise in XRP’s value by August 14. It displays consensus odds, volume of $96,228}, and 24-hour volume of $40,357, offering a real-time view of market sentiment. This centralized view helps users compare expectations and spot trends as the event approaches, making it easier to gauge collective investor confidence in a price surge for XRP.