TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 12:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
The odds in this market offer a forward-looking view that often diverges from current spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect recent trading activity, prediction market odds incorporate trader sentiment, upcoming events, and anticipated volatility, potentially pricing in higher or lower probabilities for XRP to exceed the threshold by the resolution date.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders collectively set the odds through buying and selling shares of each possible outcome. The current top outcome reflects the probability that most participants assign to XRP being above the specified level on August 1. This mechanism allows rapid price adjustments based on new information and shifting market sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. On that date, the closing price of XRP will be checked against the target level, and the market will settle accordingly based on whether the price meets or exceeds the threshold.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including major XRP-related announcements, regulatory updates, broader cryptocurrency market trends, and macroeconomic factors affecting investor sentiment. Any news that influences XRP’s price action — whether positive or negative — may cause rapid re-pricing of odds as traders adjust their expectations for the August 1 outcome.