TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Crypto
XRP above ___ on August 1?
polymarket

XRP above ___ on August 1?

Volume:
$11,882

1.00

 - Polymarket

1.00 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 12:12 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1.00

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,664
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.60

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.90

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.70

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

0.80

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1.30

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,812
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.20

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,127
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.10

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$852
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.60

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$340
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$320
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.40

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$288
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks the latest odds and price history for the XRP price market, alongside a live view of 24-hour volume of $9,604. It shows how traders on Polymarket are positioning around the prospects of XRP trading above a specific level by August 1, reflecting real-time sentiment and liquidity conditions.

The odds in this market offer a forward-looking view that often diverges from current spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect recent trading activity, prediction market odds incorporate trader sentiment, upcoming events, and anticipated volatility, potentially pricing in higher or lower probabilities for XRP to exceed the threshold by the resolution date.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders collectively set the odds through buying and selling shares of each possible outcome. The current top outcome reflects the probability that most participants assign to XRP being above the specified level on August 1. This mechanism allows rapid price adjustments based on new information and shifting market sentiment.

This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. On that date, the closing price of XRP will be checked against the target level, and the market will settle accordingly based on whether the price meets or exceeds the threshold.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including major XRP-related announcements, regulatory updates, broader cryptocurrency market trends, and macroeconomic factors affecting investor sentiment. Any news that influences XRP’s price action — whether positive or negative — may cause rapid re-pricing of odds as traders adjust their expectations for the August 1 outcome.