TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
At least 25%
- Kalshi
At least 25% - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 27, 2026
Latest in Elections
Closed: Aug 27, 2:38 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This market tracks the performance of Megan Degenfelder in the Wyoming Republican gubernatorial primary, focusing on whether her vote share meets or exceeds various thresholds. The outcome depends on the officially certified results, reflecting the final tally of valid votes after any recounts or adjustments.
Kalshi
The market resolves to Yes if Megan Degenfelder's certified vote percentage in the Wyoming Republican gubernatorial primary falls within the specified range for each individual market, from 20% up to 50% or more, inclusive of both endpoints. Vote percentages are calculated by dividing the total valid votes she receives by the total number of valid votes cast, then multiplied by 100 and rounded as specified. Only certified or official results are considered; preliminary figures, write-in votes (if certified), and adjustments from recounts before expiration are accounted for. If the election is canceled, postponed beyond the market's expiration date, or no certified results are available by that time, the market resolves to No. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both the numerator and denominator in the percentage calculation. For elections involving multiple voting rounds (e.g., ranked-choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not indicated.
Frequently asked questions
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the primary election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The percentage of votes each Republican candidate receives will determine the final settlement, aligning with official ballot tallies. No further interpretation or judgment is needed beyond the publicly recorded vote counts.
Key events that could shift this market include primary debate performances, candidate fundraising announcements, endorsements from influential state figures, and any emerging scandals or gaffes. Economic data releases or state-specific policy developments might also influence trader sentiment. As Aug 18, 2027 approaches, real-time polling updates will carry more weight, and any last-minute surges in voter registration or campaign ad spending could produce sharp price movements on Kalshi.
