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Elections
Wyoming Republican gubernatorial primary: Eric Barlow vote percent
kalshi

What will Eric Barlow's vote percent be in the Wyoming Republican gubernatorial primary?

Volume:
$48,626

At least 40%

 - Kalshi

At least 40% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 27, 2026

Closed: Aug 27, 2:41 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 40%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,137
N/A
N/A
$6,620
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 30%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,807
N/A
N/A
$3,103
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 35%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,081
N/A
N/A
$4,951
10mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

At least 50%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,865
N/A
N/A
$12,220
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 45%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,538
N/A
N/A
$1,676
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 55%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,082
N/A
N/A
$4,473
10mo 3w 1d
No
kalshi

At least 60%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,115
N/A
N/A
$2,885
10mo 3w 1d
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market tracks how much support Eric Barlow garners in the Wyoming Republican gubernatorial primary. It focuses on whether his vote share reaches various thresholds, reflecting his electoral performance against other candidates. The outcome depends solely on the officially certified results.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the certified percentage of the popular vote Eric Barlow receives in the Wyoming Republican gubernatorial primary. For each market, a specific threshold (ranging from 30% to 60%) must be met or exceeded for the outcome to be 'Yes.' The vote percentage is calculated by dividing the total valid votes cast for Eric Barlow by the total number of valid votes cast in the election, multiplied by 100, and rounded to the specified decimal places. Only certified or official results are considered; preliminary results, write-in votes (if included in certified results), and invalid or spoiled ballots are accounted for as specified. If the election is canceled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by the expiration date, the market resolves to 'No.' Additionally, if a recount alters the certified percentage before the market expires, the most recent certified percentage determines the resolution. Multiple voting rounds, such as those in ranked-choice voting systems, are handled by using the specified round or the first round if not indicated.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding, with the current chance reflecting aggregated expectations for Eric Barlow’s vote percentage. The market uses a logarithmic market design to balance liquidity and accuracy, adjusting automatically as new information emerges. Volume of $48,626 and 24-hour volume of $9,557 show how actively participants are trading this outcome.

This market resolves around Aug 18, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the vote percentages are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on official Wyoming Republican Party tallies, and the market will settle accordingly based on those verified numbers.

Debate performances, endorsements, fundraising updates, and polling shifts can all influence this market. Controversies or missteps by candidates often cause rapid price adjustments. As Aug 18, 2027 approaches, final voter registration numbers and early voting trends may also drive volatility, with traders reacting to any data that changes expectations for the final vote distribution.