TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 8:01 PM EST
Polymarket
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on October 12?
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on October 12?
Currently, prediction market participants strongly believe WTI Crude Oil (WTI) will close above a certain price on October 12. This contrasts with some analyst forecasts, which show a wider range of expectations. While some analysts predict similar price levels, others anticipate a lower close. It's important to note that analysts base their predictions on fundamental and technical analysis, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are putting their capital at risk. This difference highlights how prediction markets can offer a unique perspective on potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of WTI Crude Oil (WTI) on October 12 will be used to determine whether the market resolves in favor of the 'yes' or 'no' outcome. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized and authoritative source for oil price data, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the outcome. Traders should monitor these sources as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 12, 2026. Geopolitical events, such as disruptions in oil-producing regions or shifts in international relations, are key catalysts. Economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand and supply, can also impact prices. Unexpected changes in OPEC+ production policies or inventory reports from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) could trigger substantial price movements. Furthermore, any significant weather events affecting oil infrastructure or transportation could also move this market.