TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on October 12?
polymarket

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on October 12?

Volume:
$18,045

$92

 - Polymarket

$92 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 8:01 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$92

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,321
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$93

100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$90

100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,072
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$91

100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,938
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$87

100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,034
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$88

100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$872
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$85

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$580
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$89

100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$461
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$86

100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$411
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$95

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,673
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$94

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,383
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on October 12?

Polymarket

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on October 12?

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the WTI crude oil market tracks the current odds that WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above a certain price on October 12. You can view the implied probability of different outcomes, along with the trading volume over the past 24 hours. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $16,237 and the total volume is $18,040. The dashboard also displays a price history, allowing you to see how the market has priced the outcome over time. This provides a comprehensive overview of trader sentiment regarding future oil prices.

Currently, prediction market participants strongly believe WTI Crude Oil (WTI) will close above a certain price on October 12. This contrasts with some analyst forecasts, which show a wider range of expectations. While some analysts predict similar price levels, others anticipate a lower close. It's important to note that analysts base their predictions on fundamental and technical analysis, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are putting their capital at risk. This difference highlights how prediction markets can offer a unique perspective on potential outcomes.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of WTI Crude Oil (WTI) on October 12 will be used to determine whether the market resolves in favor of the 'yes' or 'no' outcome. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized and authoritative source for oil price data, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the outcome. Traders should monitor these sources as the resolution date approaches.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 12, 2026. Geopolitical events, such as disruptions in oil-producing regions or shifts in international relations, are key catalysts. Economic data releases, particularly those related to global demand and supply, can also impact prices. Unexpected changes in OPEC+ production policies or inventory reports from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) could trigger substantial price movements. Furthermore, any significant weather events affecting oil infrastructure or transportation could also move this market.