WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on June 8?

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract: traders buy or sell shares representing YES (WTI closes above the strike) or NO (it closes at or below). The current market odds reflect the collective valuation of all open positions. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, with the spread between bid and ask indicating liquidity depth. As June 8 approaches, price discovery accelerates and volatility typically increases, especially around energy data releases or geopolitical developments affecting crude supply.

The market resolves on Jun 8, 2026, after the WTI closing price for June 8 is officially published. Resolution hinges on the final settlement price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil at market close on that date. Once the price is confirmed, the contract settles to either 100 cents (YES) or 0 cents (NO) based on whether the closing price exceeds the specified strike level. Early resolution is not possible; traders must hold positions until the official close.

WTI prices respond to OPEC production decisions, US inventory reports, refinery utilization data, and geopolitical tensions in oil-producing regions. Unexpected supply disruptions or demand shocks can trigger sharp moves. Economic data—particularly manufacturing PMI and employment figures—influences crude demand expectations. Currency fluctuations, especially USD strength, affect oil competitiveness globally. Seasonal factors and weather patterns affecting production or shipping also matter. Traders monitor these catalysts closely, adjusting positions as new information emerges and the June 8 close date approaches.