TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Jay Schroeder
- Kalshi
Jay Schroeder - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 12, 2026
Latest in Elections
Closed: Aug 12, 12:51 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 Republican primary for Wisconsin Secretary of State, focusing on specific candidate performances. It reflects the competitive dynamics within the state's Republican party as candidates vie for nomination. The resolution depends on which of the specified candidates secures the primary victory.
Kalshi
The event determines the Republican nominee for Wisconsin Secretary of State in the 2026 primary election based on the success of specified candidates. If either Nate Pollnow or Jay Schroeder wins the primary, the market resolves affirmatively. Both markets are eligible for accelerated determination once a consensus of media organizations projects the winner, ensuring timely resolution based on authoritative sources without waiting for official results. This structure allows for efficient closure of bets while maintaining accuracy through widely recognized news outlets.
Frequently asked questions
This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the primary election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Republican nomination will be the official party choice, and that name will settle the market.
Key signals that could shift odds before Jan 1, 2027 include major party endorsements, televised candidate debates, breaking news about candidate viability, and surprise polling surges. Fundraising disclosures or legal challenges could also reshape trader sentiment. As the primary date approaches, any shift in voter sentiment captured by real-time polling will likely drive rapid price adjustments in this market.
