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Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
kalshi

Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026

Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 PM EST - May 7, 2027, 11:30 AM EST
Total volume:
$185,043
Volume 24h:
$107,675N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$30,255
0.09%

Above 447,500 jobs

 - Kalshi

Above 447,500 jobs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves May 7, 2027

Will Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 447,500 jobs?

97%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 97¢ buys you 103 shares | Odds: 97% Total Payout: $103 | Net Profit: $3 Multiplier: 1.03x | ROI: 3% | APY: 6% 195 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 447,500 jobs

Trade
97%
Yes 97¢No 4¢
1¢
N/A
$40,095
0%
0%
$450
6mo 2w 1d
active
kalshi

Above 450,000 jobs

Trade
95%
Yes 96¢No 5¢
1¢
N/A
$7,405
0%
2%
$1,598
6mo 2w 1d
active
kalshi

Above 452,500 jobs

Trade
95%
Yes 95¢No 6¢
1¢
N/A
$10,933
0.26%
3%
$1,268
6mo 2w 1d
active
kalshi

Above 455,000 jobs

Trade
70%
Yes 70¢No 31¢
1¢
N/A
$16,859
0%
0.85%
$4,504
6mo 2w 1d
active
kalshi

Above 457,500 jobs

Trade
11%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
1¢
N/A
$26,583
0%
51%
$9,755
6mo 2w 1d
active
kalshi

Above 460,000 jobs

Trade
6%
Yes 7¢No 94¢
1¢
N/A
$33,475
0%
2%
$7,237
6mo 2w 1d
active
kalshi

Above 462,500 jobs

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$49,693
0.18%
41%
$5,442
6mo 2w 1d
active
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks Wisconsin's manufacturing employment performance over the entire year of 2026. It measures whether the state's manufacturing sector maintains a specific level of job creation as officially recorded by federal labor statistics. The outcome reflects broad trends in Wisconsin's industrial activity during that period.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics' officially published annual-average manufacturing employment figure for Wisconsin in 2026, drawn from Table 1 of the Annual Average report covering Employees on nonfarm payrolls by major industry. The relevant BLS monthly series SMS55000003000000001 (Wisconsin Manufacturing, All Employees) informs the annual average, but only the formally released annual-average value determines resolution. Markets have different threshold levels (452,500; 455,000; 457,500; or 460,000 jobs) above which they resolve to Yes. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data sourcing and calculation methodology.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Wisconsin manufacturing jobs market dashboard tracks the latest odds and price history for the average manufacturing employment in Wisconsin through 2026. You can also see the current 24-hour volume of $598 to gauge trader interest. This real-time view shows how the market is pricing the job market outlook over the next several years.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more immediate, data-driven outlook shaped by real-time trading activity. While analysts may issue long-term projections based on economic models, traders in this market react quickly to new data such as policy changes, economic indicators, or global trade developments. This can lead to tighter odds or sharper movements when fresh information emerges.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome showing a chance of 97.0%. The market price reflects the collective assessment of participants about the likelihood of different employment levels by 2026, adjusting dynamically with each new trade. Volume of $185,043 indicates overall participation.

This market resolves around May 7, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will be based on the officially reported average manufacturing employment figures for Wisconsin in 2026, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.

Key signals that could shift this market include major changes in Wisconsin’s state policies affecting manufacturing, national economic shifts influencing regional employment, trade policy updates, or significant corporate announcements from large manufacturers. Any data releases showing unexpected growth or contraction in manufacturing activity will also cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess the outlook.